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NFL Week 3

 

Tampa Bay looked much improved and in Week 2, have the opportunity to build on that at home against the Rams (0-2), who have a very touch schedule to get through on the next few games. I think the Rams are a pale reflection of the all guns blazing outfit, 2-3 years back.

Garcia is not my idea of a long term success, but he should get the job done here. 

Cleveland may well build on their 1st win on season and I am going with the momentum. Oakland has not looked good for a long time, whereas the Browns are very slowly yielding some improvement. For the purists, it was nice to see Jamal Lewis stack up some very healthy numbers last week for his new team, since switching from the Ravens. With his confidence on a high, this is an athlete who has the pedigree to inspire the whole team. If he plays well the whole team will.

Atlanta might seem a surprise choice, as Carolina have always been a favourite of mine, but the Panthers are just not consistent enough. Neither are the Falcons, but maybe the arrival of Leftwich will liven up Joey Harrington. I expect the latter to start and hope he responds well to the imminent threat of losing his job. He has a decent RB in Dunn, but the game hinges on stopping the Panthers main go to guy, Steve Smith. Stop him and the job is half complete. I would have backed Atlanta off scratch, so getting the points makes it an automatic decision.

Saving the best game for last, I just have to make Chicago the NAP this evening, giving up 2.5 points is very fair. The Cowboys are an exciting team to watch, but their win last week was exaggerated. At one point they where trailing 13-10, with less than 6 minutes to go, against a team many consider to be poor. This is  just to remind myself and all, Miami were a bet for me +7. Without discrediting Dallas too much, they got a lot of help from Trent Green, the Miami QB. Four interceptions in one game and it will only end one way. With 3 of them late on, and a fumble recovered by opponents, will give a more considered view on the game. That’s not to say the Cowboys are not a threat, the QB Romo is a very good prospect, he has a decent arm and can run the ball too, Terrell Owens is class and his presence alone intimidates opponents. It's Barber 3rd season & Jones is in his 4th season. They are producing some good numbers, but make no mistake, they are up against the undisputed No1 defence in the entire league. If Chicago hit the front at any stage, they will dominate the clock and also the field of play. My only concern is Grossman, who needs to establish himself as a top QB. Last week he was hugely disappointing, knowing his defence had the measure of Kansas. The victory was never in dispute when leading 17-0, after which he downed tools. For me this was an opportunity for him to showcase some of his talent - he didn’t. The good news is there are real tools available. Devin Hester needs no introduction. His punt return plays often gives the Bears good field position. I would like to see Grossman hit Mohammed (maybe playing injured) as much as Berrian. Benson is solid and will do his bit rushing. With early NFC championship pretensions the prize, early season bragging rights assured post game, there is a lot to play for. Ask me 100 times what wins Championships, I will say defence. Tonight’s match up is the classic confrontation between attack and defence, Chicago has the latter in abundance, and that will do for me.

Bets

33 pt win Chicago Bears - 2.5 with Ladbrokes NAPPO @ 8/11

5.5 pts win Atlanta Falcons + 4 @ 10/11 with Sporting Odds or Boyle Sports

6.5 pts win Cleveland Browns  + 3.5 @ 11/13 with Expekt

10 pts win Tampa Bay Buccaneers on the money line @ 1/2 Ladbrokes/Boylesports/Bet Direct/SkyBet

And

Devin Hester

Devin Hester 1st TD 1pt @ 25/1 Paddy Power

Devin Hester Last TD 1pt @15/1 Bet 365

Devin Hester Anytime 1pt @ TD 10/3 Paddy Power

John