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Preview 28 June 2008

3.20 Newcastle John Smith Northumberland Plate Heritage Handicap Class 2 2M Good to soft / soft

Horses to consider

Double Banded (11/1) - Rapid improver over the last twelve months and has had a surprise jockey change for this race with Seb Sanders taking over the ride for this big prize and this looks like his best chance of winning a race at this level I feel. The ground is quite testing for this time of the year and it seems to be the norm for this race that there is give underfoot for potential hurdling types and this horse that is only 4yo could well be over hurdles come the summer. John Dunlop horses have been in fine form this summer so far and they take the long trip north for this race today. Ran a ok race in the Chester Cup but that track and race in my view was never going to totally suit so it was a testament to the horse to get as close as he did and this more stiffer test should help him to improve further with the drop back in trip a added bonus. The Nottingham run stands out well and he should run a big race for today's pilot.

Inchadamph (50/1) - Strong staying horse who is long overdue a crack at this handicap and taking on board the performance he put up at Doncaster on the final day of the season he is very much a horse that still retains the ability that has seen him go close in some major staying handicaps. The ground shouldn't be a problem despite the fact his wins have come on a sound surface and with a strong pace assured in this handicap his tactics should be well suited for this race today. 2M is his trip I feel and even though there is no Jamie Spencer for this horse today he could run a big race under his northern jockey. This is his time of year and despite his advancing years he should go close under a low handicap weight here today. Don't discount lightly because of the penalty for that win on final run last season.

Bogside Theatre (14/1) - no match for highland Legacy earlier in the season at Ripon but has stronger claims now of reversing that form with her conqueror today. The cut in the ground is likely to benefit this horse, who likes to get her toe in. The yard usually do well in this handicap, with their horses laid out for this race. On much better terms, she has strong claims of reversing the form with Highland Legacy and going on to progress in these types of races, as he is still lightly raced and unexposed as a handicapper. She stays well and should be suited to the run of the race. The change of jockey is a positive in my view and a big ride is expected.

Selection  Bogside Theatre 2 pts @ 14/1 (16'sBF) & Inchadamph 1 pt @ 50/1 (64'sBF)

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