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Preview - 26 June 2008


3.30 Newcastle National Express Seaton Delaval Trophy Handicap 1M 3Y Good Good to Soft

Horses to consider

Zero Tolerance (6/1) – Will have made many punters notebook after returning in good health Beverley in a handicap on ground that would have been regarded as plenty quick enough, however there are some holes to poke in that early season handicap as the winner is another that would have required softer conditions then it was that day on the Stiff track, the strength and depth in that race could be questioned with a few maybe coming on for the run that day and proving to win handicaps after that run. Zero Tolerance does go well fresh as he is quite lightly raced for an 8yo and even though this is a better handicap he has good form to his name in the past and if only showing 85% of his best form from a few years ago he would be highly consider of this low weight. The conditions underfoot have come right and he is a proven mile specialist and should run a big race on a course he travelled so strongly at in the Lincoln that he was too high in the handicap for.

Scartozz (7/1) – Was unlucky to lose the race last time at Redcar when interference made him lose the race in the final furlong and was harshly treated on the evidence of what happened in my view. Has only had two runs in this country for his Italian trainer who is making waves in this country as a trainer to follow and the yard is in good form at the moment. Has improvement still to come in my view and showed a remarkable amount of consistence. The easier conditions underfoot shouldn’t be a problem having shown good form on tough goings back in Italy, however he does seem to enjoy quick ground under foot and maybe the edge taken off the ground with the rain up north will be a deciding factor in a more competitive handicap then the five runner affair he ran in last time, but he comes here in good form and should run his race in this today.

Rio Riva (10/1) – hacked up in this race last season under soft conditions and while the conditions of the track wont be as desperate as it was that day, it should be soft enough for him to do enough damage to this field if getting the solid enough pace from the pace setting Zero Tolerance and with this track playing to his come from behind tactics he could well bounce back to form after finding 10F to far at Nottingham and the ground and the messy race at Thirsk going against him. Today’s race should be much more to his liking and the Southwell run behind Benandonner where he is a stone better of at the weights and that rival is at his top of his game at Southwell and it should be enough changes in conditions and weight for the form to be turned around here today. Tom Eaves continues the partnership.

Flipando (13/1) – Starting to look very well handicapped and the run last time in the Hunt cup shouldn’t reflect his true chance in this handicap today as the draw played a massive factor in that handicap. Seven furlongs the time before he finished with a rattle and caught the eye that day and while the ground that day was on the extreme fast side that suits this horse, providing it doesn’t turn into a bog with the intended rain he should give his true running with his ability being proven on ground with some juice in. The mile course here should suit his turn of foot and if Zero Tolerance (stable mate) can set a good enough gallop his extra stamina and finishing kick could well come into play in this handicap and has to be strongly considered with the yard holding a strong hand in this handicap even if David Barron hasn’t got the well handicapped ammo this season that he has had in the past and it is noted in the height of summer his string does start to edge of slightly from their all year round form.

SelectionRio Riva 2 pts win @ 10/1 (BF’S11) & Flipando 1 pt @ 11/1 (BF’s13’s)

Best of luck all

Well Chief