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Preview - 25 June 2008

4.05 Carlisle Cumberland Plate 11.5F Good to soft / Soft class 4 handicap

Horses to consider

Sin City (17/2) – Made a pleasing return to the track in what looked a half decent handicap at Hamilton two weeks ago and is certain to have benefited from that run, he was quite well fancied for his seasonal return for top handicapping judge Richard Fahey and there is sure to be a handicap for this horse to land this summer around the northern block. Today’s race isn’t the strongest of Cumberland Plate and the ground is totally different to what he returned on last time. However looking at this profile and the way he runs this stiffer more testing going could be just what the horse needs to make a good fist of it today. The yard didn’t have the best royal meeting, but amongst the northern trainers there isn’t many better in these types of races then the Fahey Camp. Still unexposed he could well be ahead of the handicapper here.

Nur Tau (28/1) – Top weight in a staying handicap isn’t the most ideal preference for testing going and this unexposed 4yo has still made the long journey to the north to contest this race today, whether or not Hugh Morrison has ran out of ideas with this horse is to be seen as he has the first time blinkers on for this run today. Comes here looking to recapture his form he showed as a 3yo when beating the useful Sugar Ray, he showed a glimmer of ability when 6L behind Kavachi who ran a cracker at Royal Ascot last week over a mile, albeit draw assisted. Handles some give in the ground and stayed on well enough at Doncaster to suggest he is coming into some form and with the application of blinkers and the sole traveller from the Morrison yard that are in form, he could be a surprise package.

Lochiel (33/1) – Could have excuses made for him last time at Hamilton where the ground looked a shade to quick for him in what was a keenly contested middle distance handicap and the change of conditions today should very much help him along here today and he could still be on the upgrade so the bottom weight in a handicap that doesn’t look as hot as the last could be interesting here today. Has shown that getting his toe in suits and given the way he finished behind Royal Amnesty at Musselbrugh 3 runs back he should easily reverse that form today as he had to be rousted along on the ground. These type of handicaps look tailor made for him and with the added claim of the jockey taking him down to a nice weight I wouldn’t be quick to dismiss his chances in this race today at a big price.

Know the Law (40/1) – Another that has travelled a long way for this race and looking at his price it appears he could have been just company for Carlisle Bell hopeful Summer dancer in a earlier race. The Elsworth barn are not having the best of seasons so far and victory at Carlisle in one of their feature handicaps of the season could well see them turn the corner this season. The reason why Know the Law has to be considered is that the ground has come right for this horse and the fact they have travelled all this way is eye catching for him to have conditions he needs, no chance the last two times on ground to quick and raced without a shoe last time which could have been the reason he looked so awkward on the ground in that race. First time he has run under these conditions since showing his best form in his earlier days he could be well handicapped and even though the last race at Windsor isn’t working out to well, he should be more at home under these conditions today, Marc Halford rides him well.

SelectionKnow the Law 1 pt @ 40/1, Lochiel 1 pt @ 33-1 & Nur Tau 1 pt @ 28/1

Best of luck all

Well Chief