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Preview - 12 June 2008

 

4.45 Haydock class 3 Handicap 1M Good to firm

Horses to consider

Farley Star – The unexposed horse in this field is likely to start fav for this handicap and with improvement likely the Roger Charlton Filly could be ahead of the handicapper after winning at Leicester last time. The jockey booking isn’t the most eye catching, as Steve Drowne misses out on following up on the horse and she is unknown on ground that could be too quick for her underfoot. A galloping track is ideal for her and she should improve on her sole start over a mile having achieved all her best work so far over seven furlongs.

Fiefdom – Surprised to see this horse at double figures for this race on Betfair as he is very dangerously handicapped at a stone lower then what he has proven at in the past. Saves his best runs for the all weather these days he should be able to run a big race from low in the weights in these class 3 handicaps. The recent form hasn’t been anything to write home about but there have been some signs that he is coming back into form and as he is very well handicapped at this level he should go well providing that the ground has stayed on the quick side of good. There isn’t much pace in this race and he should take a handy position behind the front-runner.

Minority Report – Dandy Nichols will be looking at this horse to win today to get into some big race handicaps for his new yard and a horse that has talent could run a big race from high up in the weights. Loves the ground quick and stays a mile well in these conditions. The track shouldn’t be a problem and looks very much the first string of the trainer’s pair in this race, as White Deer has to be a doubtful stayer. If it stays dry he could continue the good form of the yard in this handicap.

Crocodile Bay – Can discount the last run as the horse hated the soft ground when well beaten by mud lark Exit Smiling and is better judged on his easy success the time before in a small field at Beverley. Loves it quick and will appreciate this mile track, he should be up in the van in this handicap and that looks the place to be with a lack of pace likely in this race and if Fergal Lynch can kick at the right time he may have enough about him to hold on despite the high weight for this handicap. Quite exposed he has little improvement in him and maybe vulnerable to a lighter weighted rival.

Verdict – A decent enough class 3 event and Crocodile Bay should go well, despite the weight and a lot of these could be more depending on the rain hitting the track. The top of the ground performers should however, give their running, and its clear that looking at the types in this race that they expect it to be rattling fast underfoot. Minority Report does catch the eye in this handicap ahead of Fiefdom. Farley Star will be the most interesting runner in this race but Dandy Nichols barely leaves a crumb behind when he is double handed in these types of races and Minority Report looks likely to bounce back to form tonight.

Selection – 3 pts Minority Report @ 7-1 (BF8’s)

Best of luck all

Well Chief