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Preview 24 Apr 2008

3.55 PERTH FESTIVAL HANDICAP CHASE (2) (5YR +) 3M 0f - Runners 18 35000 Added

Kenzo III - (16/1) - Looks high in the weights at the moment but is a horse that is quite hard to get to the bottom off as his record is very much run well or flop badly, the fences last time didn't seem to suit the horse and the return to more basic fences that he is use to should be a major plus, and when he gets into a rhythm he can be hard to stop. The quick ground over this trip should be ideal with his usual partner doing the steering and the right-handed sharp course shouldn't hinder his chances having won at the Galloping speed track of Wincanton. All in all he should run another big race in these conditions and wouldn't be surprised if this lightly raced 10yo was to run a big race today.

139 - The win at Wincanton was his last decent effort and that win where he jumped them all silly was a decent run for that level and clearly he was above those rivals that day, his chance in a higher class of race which he has done well in the past in, relies mainly on if he retains the ability he showed and given that performance at Wincanton he still does in the main, lightly raced he may be slightly better over that shorter trip then he contests today and may struggle to lead all the way in a big field over 3M.

Rayshan - (14/1) - Nicky Richards I believe has a strong hand in this race and Rayshan is very consistent even though he has yet to prove this far is ideal with a fair effort last time at Aintree in which he finished a never nearer 4th at the finish behind a decent type of Nicky Henderson. Another that looks weighted up to the hilt despite the jockey's claim, he has improved over the trip last time from his previous effort against Ice Tea at Bangor and could have further improvement to come over this trip today on ground that is ideal for him. The course shouldn't be a problem even though a stronger galloping track is usually more ideal for him, the yards have a good record at this track and he could well be a leading hope for the yard.

140 - beat Silver Sedge at Newcastle the time before at Aintree over 20F, which is ideal for him, it seems, but the big step up in company last time was not to hinder his performance over further and he remains in good health and has improved this term, the better ground then those two occasions should suit him with good past performances and as long as he doesn't run into a highly progressive horse again he could go very close.

Petitjean - (8/1) - Has mixed it up this season over fences and hurdles to quite good effect, but isn't one to totally rely on as his jumping is sometime hit and miss over fences and he is yet to run a decent race when his jumping has been put under pressure at this level and remains one to have doubts about. The yard have travelled a long way to give him another chance at this level and that has to be interesting as they rarely go away from this meeting without a winner. Has proven he has stamina for this trip in the past and doesn't do badly this time of year despite the concerns for his ability to handle ground this fast which is a major concern today as we start to head into summer. Has run with much credit on this surface so not a total loss, even though he has enjoyed plenty of cut to good effect.

143 - Quite lightly raced at 8yo he could have further improvement to come over 3M having won nicely last time out on good ground at Ludlow beating a consistent yardstick. This is a much tougher class of race but if he jumps like he did this day he should go very close to following up despite the 9lbs hike he has got for that win. 

Antonius Caesar- (11/1) - Another that is still quite unexposed and has a future ahead of him over fences in the famous silks of his owner. Didn't hang about with jumping hurdler he has enjoyed a fairly decent novice campaign over fences, even though he has been kept away from any big races and now he takes a big step up in class maybe needing to find quite some improvement to win of this current mark. The trip and sharp nature of the track is more then ideal for the horse and the major concern might be the lively conditions underfoot with best performances coming on ground, with much give underfoot.

Rating 130 - Based on recent runs he needs to find much improvement to counter the better quality of opponents then what he has been facing and with the ground potentially against him that may be very much of the question today, I have been wrong before with these unexposed types and he could well improve on the ground, but from past races in which he has encounter a surface with no soft in description he has struggled and that may be enough to have this up against performer out of the frame.

Undeniable - (20/1) - Sue Smith has enjoyed a brilliant Spring so far and it would be no surprise to see this old timer roll back the years and go well with very much in his favour in terms of conditions and trip. Loves on top of the ground conditions he stays well and jumps with a degree of fluency. This type of track is more then ideal and he often goes well at this time of year. One of the most heavily raced runners in the field, means he cant get away with things not in his favour and the only thing that can stop him running a big race is if he isn't as good as he once was and is rapidly declining in terms of ability which is always a strong possibility at this time of his career.

144 - The run at Kelso when beating today's favourite Stand-in Obligation was his best recent effort and that came on really soft conditions in which he was getting quite a bit of weight in the conditions, but that was a very catching performance considering that ground that deep has often caused him problems. The potential is there for him to improve on that run and given that his rival is favourite for this he could be regarded as value in this handicap if overcoming the weight raise which has to be the major concern for the horse as he isn't getting any younger.

Ever Present- (20/1) - Second runner for Nicky Richards who has a strong hand in this handicap. Best on a soft surface he has only been tried on better ground once and that was under extremely quick conditions. The horse that day made very smooth headway under the conditions before being found one pace over a shorter trip and that has led me to believe he wont mind these conditions underfoot today and could improve for it as some horses that enjoy really testing ground that is untraceable have a action for better ground and he has to be of interest under a claimer for a top northern yard. Out of the two Richards runners he has proven 3M forms in the book and handles sharp galloping tracks such as these.

141 - Went close over hurdles last time giving the impression that he is returning to his best form and has a splendid record this time of the year. The run the time before up against the progressive Randwick Roar was over a trip that may have been a little sharp for him these days and stayed on after making some mistakes in the frantic early pace, this trip should help him out and with the ground a possible to draw improvement from he looks to have a solid chance as he looks weighted to go well against these.

Brooklyn Breeze - (33/1) - Has become some what of a forgotten horse for Lenny Lungo and today could be when he comes back with revenge for the poor season as he has much in his favour with ground conditions perfect, nearing the lower part of the handicap suggest he has slightly regressed as a race horse this season, he is very lightly raced like most of the yards runner for his age. Stays these trips and acts very well on right handed sharp tracks he could well spring a surprise today at a big price with the time of year he thrives in.

149 - The most recent efforts haven't been much to shout about and his performance at Carlisle was most probably the best effort he showed behind Vedelle, Sharp Belline and Ile De Paris in testing conditions over this trip, the sharper nature of this track should allow him to run a better race then that day and drying ground is more then ideal, this run showed that the horse is in good shape and after having races that don't suit, this could well bring him back to his best as it stands up well at the weights today.

Verdict  Open handicap in which Brooklyn Breeze has just as good chance as the principals and shouldn't be readily discounted at a big price of 33-1, his main rivals to value in this race has to be Easter Present who could easily turn out better then Rayshan. Undeniable is another of the old guard to have solid claims, while Petitjean, Rayshan and Antonius Cesar are all respected, while the lightly raced Kenzo III could go well if getting into a rhythm up front.

Selection  Brooklyn Breeze 2 pts win @ 33-1 (65-1BF) & Easter Present 1 pt win @ 20-1 (33-1BF)

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