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Preview 01 April 2008


4.45 Southwell – 1 Mile Handicap Standard

1. Rio Riva – Returned this season as good as ever with a cracking performance once again in the Lincoln handicap in which he was placed in and is long overdue a try on this deep surface that should suit, the major concern has to be his ability to handle smaller fields then he is use too, but he is very much a spring horse and often pays his way around this time of year. Tom Eaves has a fair record on a horse that is ultra consistent and tough as old boots, so the kick back shouldn’t be a problem either.

My Rating – 115

2. Party Boss – Best in the winter months, he has ran well in the spring in the past as well and has won on both starts on this surface for his inform trainer. Likely to be thereabouts in the finish he is consistent over a mile trip on a sharp track and if finding the form he showed in the latter part of last year he could be ready to run a very big race here. Only his third run on this surface it wouldn’t be out of the norm for a horse aged six to find further improvement on a surface he has been used sparingly on but to good effect.

My Rating – 112

3. Red Cape – Had no chance over sprint trips the other day at Doncaster and should be better judged on his form over a mile that clearly suits. Doesn’t have a great deal in favour but has fair form this time of year in races such as this so isn’t totally a lost cause even though it was with his ex trainer where he showed his best form. The Yard he is with now can do more work with the horse, but for the time being he could well be in the grips of the handicapper. Turned out quickly for today’s race could help him get handicapped to win sooner rather then later.

My Rating – 102

4. Very Wise – Last seasons Lincoln winner couldn’t find the same dash as he showed 12 months ago in this seasons race and changes code to try and get back some confidence after being well beaten last weekend. The quick turning out shouldn’t be a problem as he does come out of his previous races well and early season can often be the best time to catch the horse with the ground in his favour, should handle this deep surface today his connections will be hoping that he shapes better then his last effort on this surface.

My Rating – 96

5. Silver Hotspur – Improving with every race it seems and takes a giant step up in class today to mix it with top handicappers on a surface that has been good to him in recent weeks. Its hard to know if he has the improvement in him to take it up at this level and maybe a class 4 handicap would have been a better option for the horse over 7 furlongs. He deserves to take his chance in this handicap today and it will be a good test of how far he has progressed. The likely hood is that he will claim a place at best over a mile and a drop back in trip may be the next step at a higher level then he has achieved.

My Rating - 111

6. Kabeer – Gallant 10yo who saves his best runs for this track and even though not the force he once was he runs with a remarkable consistency on this surface. Unlikely to beat the best of these in terms of class you can mark him down as a reliable bench mark to rate the other horses around and certainly tell if they have a future at this level on this surface. Nothing to fear for his backers at this track as he is sure to run his race, but place claims are the best he can hope for I feel.

My Rating - 105

7. Regal Parade – Finished behind Benandoner on reappearance at Doncaster on Lincoln Day and comes here with a live chance having coped well with this surface in the past when winning a smaller race then today’s contest. With Dandy Nichols from Mark Johnston setup he maybe dropped back in trip after today with seven furlongs being his ideal trip on form. Could well improve on this surface and for new yard but its been a while since the Goodwood run that would have him home and hosed of this weight.

My Rating – 109

8. Benandoner – returned in good form on turf the other week when chasing home mud lark Don’t Panic and that form could well work out to be strong form for the upcoming events such as the Zetland Gold Cup which he is sure to take his chance in. Has had good form previously on this track and is nicely weighted on return to this surface he could well take all the beating with a lot in favour. The fitness of the horse is no concern as he has gone well within a 2 week period in the past and even though his form in class 2 handicaps is nothing to write home about, he has got a nice low weight and looks handicapped to go well.

My Rating – 117

Tissue prices – Benandoner 2/1, Rio Riva 4/1, Party Boss 13/2, Silver Hotspur 7/1, Regal Parade 8/1, Kabeer 12/1, Red Cape 16/1, Very Wise 20/1.

Verdict – I have discounted Very wise on the basis that he looks in need of some help from the handicapper at present and Red Cape needs to show he still has his raw ability in tact. Benandoner is likely to go close of this mark, but the price of 7/4 is a little to short and the 7/1 available on Rio Riva and 10/1 on Party Boss look to be better options in this tight handicap.

Selection   2 pts win Rio Riva @ 7/1 (8’sBF) & 1 pt win Party Boss @ 10-1 (11’sBF)

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