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Preview 23 March 2008

5.30 Musselburgh Tote sport Handicap class 4 5F Good to soft

1. First Order - Changed stables since Ian Semple hung up his training boots and is now with Linda Perrert for first run of the season. Finished 3rd here to Blazing Heights and meets that rival all wrong at the weights today after getting a 8lbs penalty for the defeat of Harry Up who often finds one to good in these sprint handicap. With cut in the ground today it isn't certain that the top weight is going to be at his best, which would have him take this. The improvement for the change of yard isn't likely to be too much if there is any to draw from the change of scene. Fully exposed he is a sprinter through and through, but is often at his best in the height of summer. The course suits.

My rating - 95

2. Bo Mcginity - A seasoned campaigner who has many miles of the clock and is the first of two runners in this handicap for Richard Fahey whose yard goes from strength to strength with there handicappers. Has had a recent run with a fair place effort on the fibre sand at Southwell and should be fit for this return to the turf. Handles cut in the ground and consistent over five furlongs he handles sharp tracks such as this even though better on quirky tracks. Jamie Moriety rode the horse in the past to good effect and is a jockey on the upgrade with his claim still in place.

My Rating - 94

3. Blazing Heights - Last seen trailing in last at Wolverhampton after previously showing a good turn of foot to beat a steady bunch of handicappers over course and distance. Needs to have luck in running with him being produced down the outside to pick his rivals up and with some juice in the ground he may struggle to make up ground in the same fashion as he does on genuine good racing ground and is exposed for others to take advantage on these conditions. Only a fair record early doors in the season and often needs a run, so better days are likely.

My Rating - 91

4. Melalchrist - A winner back in August last year and struggled in handicaps after being raised in the weights and is rather hit and miss for a sprinter. This doesn't look a bad handicap to finish of the card in terms of quality for a class 4 handicap and plenty of these have recorded better efforts in their career then this horse. The ground with cut in hasn't played to his strengths in the past and with him maybe in the grip of the handicapper he may struggle to overcome these conditions today. Runs well over five furlongs, as it is his ideal trip, Kevin Ryan is double handed in this handicap with Neil Callen choosing the more unexposed type for this race today. A stiffer five would be more ideal for this horse who goes well early season and this may well be a prep as he skins fitter for the run.

My rating - 86

5. Rasaman - The first choice from Kevin Ryan yard if you go by jockey bookings and even though Neil Callen is yet to ride the horse, he is sure to have done some work on the horse. The trip he is quite unexposed over and yet to be tested on rain soft ground, as he will experience today, has gone well at this level in the past and should be fit for this run, as he is very much a spring horse. Has improvement still to come as a sprinter that hasn't been over burdened so far and could well improve on the Sandown run that was quite eye catching. The course should suit as well.

My rating - 103

6. Caribbean Coral - On his day a very accomplished sprinter, but at 9yo his best days may be just behind him now and handicaps such as this should be paying his way for his connections. Has several styles of running after usually coming from last to first with a good turn of foot, he can take a more prominent role in his races these days and with ground very unlikely to be lightening quick which is ideal for him, he may take a closer role in this race to give him some sort of chance in a handicap he has the ability to win over five furlongs. Goes well this time of the year after having a run to skin fitter and even though very well handicapped his winning is likely to take place after today when the ground dry out. Is well respected in this handicap as the classiest horse in terms of old ability.

My rating - 92

7. Blue Tomato - Formally with Milton Bradley and now with Dandy Nichols, this 7yo couldn't have asked for two better trainers of these types of horses and while it is uncertain to know what the plans for this horse is, not many trainers improve sprinters like these two. Dropped back to five furlongs for his first run for Dandy, this is often a ploy used by the trainer on a new recruits first run and could well be used as a launch pad for future races. His previous runs over five have had him tapped for toe and even though the ground is certain to make it more of a test, it is hard to see what he has showed away from fast ground as improving the horse to have a firm say in this handicap and this looks a fact finding mission for the yard.

My rating - 94

8. Mr Wolf - Certain to make it a true test for these sprinters first time out as he is all pace and even at 7yo he is able to try and run the finish out of his rivals and with form on this type of ground he may well bounce back to form on his seasonal reappearance after trailing in on last start last season in the Ayr Silver cup. Effective over five even if more suited to six furlongs he should run a big race for connection today as he goes well fresh and handles a sharp track as well as a stiffer test. The concern has to be does he retain his ability as he has had plenty of runs in races such as this and last season was a poor season dropping 12lbs in the handicap and not getting close to winning despite running at his favourite venue. Shouldn't be far of winning this season from this mark if he is still sound and not over the top at 7yo.

My Rating - 95

9. Geojimali - Another trainer who has two runners is Jim Goldie who also has Blazing Heights in this sprint handicap and his well weighted sprinter Geojimali is dangerously handicapped in this race, considering it was 18 months ago that he was landing the Silver cup with a late surge and is very much a horse that needs to have luck in running and should be out the back with Blazing Heights looking for the pace and gaps to come at just the right time. Likely to get a sound enough pace in the race with front runner Mr Wolf giving them all something to aim at, he is well capable over the minimum distance of landing this prize. Handles cut in the ground to a average level as his best runs have mainly came on quick ground where he can rattle home off, he should handle the give and looks first choice of the yard here. Hasn't got the best record fresh, but has gone well often this time of year and with him well handicapped and not overly exposed he has a chance at the weights today on his seasonal reappearance.

My rating - 92

10. Yungabarra - No doubts surrounding this horse fitness as he has been on the go for sometime now and hasn't enjoyed the best winter on the all weather so connections will be looking for more improvement now returning to turf in which he is lightly raced on in comparison. Handles a sharp five furlongs well, he has had very limited efforts on ground with any cut in it and on the two tries so far in the formbook he has produced very little on both tries. Not yet one to totally discount on this type of ground, but isn't one to have too much faith in until trying better ground looking at his profile. Yet to win outside the autumn and winter months of the year, today's weather should suit him and while still unexposed on the ground, this may well lie with a more proven type.

My rating - 93

11. Circuit Dancer - A winner in September around Chester turning track and looks the second string for Dandy Nichols, but it would be foolish to take the bookings as which one is more preferred as the claimer is more then useful at doing the low weight and circuit Dancer has the pace for five furlongs in his locker. However he is yet another horse in this field that may struggle as he is yet to run a decent race when soft has been in the going description and even though Musselbrugh drains well the current weather must leave some juice underfoot. Always needs a run on first start of the season he is likely to come on for this run today and is likely to make good use of his current mark in the near future around a sharp 5F.

My rating - 92

12. Steelcut - The second runner for Richard Fahey in this handicap and quite possibly the first choice at the weights even though on the form book he is yet to show his true ability. Looks quite a well sized horse for the sprinting game his form was just pointing towards a potential winning run on last run of the season at Pontefract over five furlongs and may be better suited to quick ground then slower conditions based on that run. Yet to really show any form on a softer surface in his handful of runs he has had and based on breeding he doesn't look likely to benefit to much for some give despite looking at him and his action he should act on it.

My rating - 93

13. Stolt - Has been used over the winter in sprint handicaps over five furlongs and has only tasted victory in one handicap in quite a heavy campaign. Should be fit for this run today after running in February he often is best after a much shorter break in between races. Stays the trip well and handles soft ground well and isn't overly exposed on this type of ground so there could be improvement to come despite being heavily raced over 5F this winter. Small yard will be looking to spring a surprise here and his level of form at the weights today could see him go very close with good runs around this time of year.

My rating - 102

14. Tartatartufartu - Unmistaken name for a horse and one that has always promised so much but has never really delivered on a regular basis on the turf and has really benefited from running on the all weather in which he has recorded wins on a regular basis. Ideally produced on sharp five furlongs track he has handled ground with give in the past and with a low weight will be hoping for the ground to get softer as the softer it gets the better it seems for this horse who has enjoyed the deep fibre sand this winter and should have everything in place for a big run in this handicap if reproducing his all weather form.

My rating - 103

Tissue - Rasaman 4/1, Stolt, Tartatartufartu 9/2, First Order, Mr Wolf 9/1, Bo Mcginity, Blue Tomato 10/1, Steelcut, Yungabarra 14/1, Caribbean Coral, Geojamli, Circuit Dancer 16/1, Blazing Heights 20/1, Melachirst 33/1.

Verdict  With Stolt confirmed now as a non-runner it could become a straight match up between the bottom weight and the unexposed new recruit for Kevin Ryan who looks a massive price at around 8/1 with the bookmakers and 9-1 on the exchanges. First Order and Mr Wolf looks to both have chances of the proven types in this race and the latter has had some support so far this morning in which the best price available is 12-1. The bottom weight is well priced at 9-1 for this race, while Geojamli has been installed as favourite based on his reputation and is often under priced. Bo Mcginity is the consistent sprinter in the race and sets the yardstick.

Selection  1 pt e/w Rasaman @ 8-1 (BF10's) + 1 pt win Mr Wolf @ 12-1 (BF15's)

Well Chief

Best of luck and Happy Easter