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Preview - 26 Feb 2008


3.30 Lingfield - KIDS ARE ALWAYS HAPPY @ PONTIN'S HANDICAP (D4) (4YR +) 6f Standard.

1. Lucayos – Trail blazer who can often be hard to peg back if getting a easy lead and has ran numerous good races around this track in the past. Won at a better class of race he is well suited to the polytrack around Lingfield and despite shouldering top weight isn’t without chance if not taken on which with Misaro and Lethal in the race they are likely to set it up for a closer in this handicap.

Tissue price – 8/1

2. Bellech – Has the class to take this sprint in what is a exposed field of handicap sprinters on the all weather. With much in his favour, he is likely to take all the beating from this current mark, having won nicely last time out in a similar sort of race. Suited by the jockey and has the pace to aim, which is a big bonus for a horse that possesses a turn of foot. With lucky in running, he should go very close to following up.

Tissue Price – 15/8

3. Buxton – Has ran many time at this level and failed to really create much impression, hard to win with he finally came good last time out to win a low class handicap here last time out and given that he is quite high up in the handicap he isn’t likely to follow up unless the win has sparked something to make him progress after being labelled a dodge pot.

Tissue price – 9/1

4. Lethal – has potential to be better then these and may show it today but needs to prove that he is back to his best after some moderate performances so far on the all weather and may be best when dropped a further few pounds of his back. Represents a strong stable who do well with there runners on the all weather and market support should be noted as he has the ability to win this in good fashion.

Tissue Price - 6/1

5. Hello Man – One of the more lightly raced handicappers in this field, but is very much exposed as knowing how good he is over this trip on this course and needs to find improvement to land this handicap or hope that better quality sprinters fail to give there running. Quite consistent the weight receipt will help his cause today and he doesn’t come here in to bad form having won two runs back. The run under a weight rise last time he finished in a bunch finish at Kempton and may just be handicapped up to his best at this level.

Tissue Price - 10/1

6. Misaro – Likely to cut across and get involved in a speed dual in a race that has 3 potential front-runners from the wider draws. On his day can be quite special and hard to peg back, but he does need to have it all his own way up front and given that there doesn’t seem to much in his favour today and still looking for some form he is best passed over.

Tissue Price – 20/1

7. Sand Cat – Tumbling down the handicap despite running with consistency he is weighted to go close today having achieved decent form at a higher level then this and looks the chief threat to the likely favourite in my eyes. Has decent form recently with eye catching run behind Bonnie Prince Blue and Neardown Beauty who were both well handicapped on old form and could well be ready to strike today.

Tissue Price – 5/1

8. Muktasb – Gets quite a hefty weight cushion from all the runners today and should have the race run to suit with plenty of pace on. Drawn on the rail he may need to come around the houses to land this prize to in which he is the least classiest in this race but consistent at this level and comes here with form against the favourite on better terms but struggled last time out to carry on his running to form. Better expected here despite being out of the handicap.

Tissue Price – 8/1

Tissue – Bellench 15/8, Sand Cat 5/1, Lethal 6/1, Muktasb, Lucayos 8/1, Buxton 9/1, Hello Man 10/1, Misaro 20/1.

Verdict –  Bellench  is likely to take all the beating and should follow up under a 4lb penalty for beating Muktasb, who is most feared, along with Sand Cat, who has form in better races then this and is coming into a half decent class 4 sprint full of exposed types. Lethal should be watched in the market.

Selection – Bellench 4pts win @ 2-1 (11-4BF)

Best of luck all

Well Chief