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Preview - 20 Feb 2008

 

3.35 Lingfield – Treat your family to Pontin’s Handicap Class 4 0-85 2M Standard

1. Wicked Daze – Sir mark Prescott has a decent chance of landing this handicap with this unexposed type who has a very consistent profile and went close in a feature handicap here the other Saturday and must fancy his chances in this weaker affair despite the 10 stone plus he has to carry on the flat. Has some of the leading recent form he steps up to 2M for the first time today and could well improve for the extra yards with Seb Sanders doing the steering, beaten by a exposed sort last time in a better race he may not be quite up to that level yet but will have improved again and shouldn’t be discounted despite the hefty load as the Polly track has been made a specialist surface for this yard in the past.

Tissue Price – 4/1

2. Moon Mix – Formally with Dermot Weld in his native Ireland before going over hurdles and flopping he has had one run in the UK on the flat where he finished 2nd at Kempton Park to Jack Rolfe who he reposes here today. Given some tough tasks as a youngster in Ireland he has been given a chance by the UK handicapper and could well be up to reversing the form with his victor last time. Stays the trip well and better weighted with that rival today he is respected in this handicap.

Tissue Price – 5/1

3. Jack Rolfe – Maybe suited to the race more then Moon Mix at Kempton in which that rival didn’t get a clear run but it wasn’t plain sailing for Gary Moore runner either and he has clearly adopted a game genuine horse who is progressing the right way in the handicap. Tied in tightly with Moon Mix there is most probably very little between the pair of them and one shouldn’t be far from the other regarding there finishing position. Has a chance of confirming the form today even though the race will be run differently and has all important course experience.

Tissue Price- 9/2

4. Masked – Another horse who has tight form lines with 2M form at Kempton against Jack Rolfe and if settling which is a big possibility having come on for the run and clearly has a few things in favour in this competitive looking staying race. Lightly raced for a 7yo who could have further progression to make this year and at the weights has a strong looking chance on the book for Ralf Beckett and may just shade it this time.

Tissue Price – 9/2

5. War Of The Roses – Comes here very much in form but looking handicapped up to the hilt now having racked up a hatrick over middle distances and this is much tougher then what he has been contesting and takes on the further trip in the hope that the improvement will come from this extra test of stamina to hold his own in races such as this.

Tissue Price – 8/1

6. High Point – one of the most exposed stayer’s on the circuit and one that is rapidly falling down to a mark that could have him winning but this race is most probably a little too classy for him these days as he is going the other way to most of these and has most probably the least in favour and is best waited with for a race full of exposed types rather then improvers such as these.

Tissue Price – 20/1

7. Mister Completely – For a stayer his record of runs is quite amazing as he continues to be turned out for events such as these and often runs with credit over 2M trips on Polly track around here especially and wouldn’t be a surprise to see him run a big race again here. However he looks up against it in regards of raw ability and the progressive types in the race even though he is in receipt of weight to all bar one.

Tissue Price – 20/1

8. Dubai Ace – a lot less exposed then Mister Completely yet the same age and is one horse that needs to find improvement at this level having failed to run with much credit at it in the past. Strongly suited to the track and conditions he has a nice low weight in comparison to the others and the 20 odd pounds from the top weight should give the others much to think about, but it is hard to draw where the improvement is likely to come from. He is likely to run his usual consistent race but he is likely to be found wanting despite being very much in form

Tissue price – 16/1

Tissue – Wicked Daze 4/1, Jack Rolfe, Masked 9/2, Moon Mix 5/1, War of the roses 8/1, Dubai Ace 16/1, Mister Completely, High Point 20/1

Verdict – A very tight looking handicap in which only a select few can be discounted and May be best if the selection is split between two horses. The form of Jack Rolfe, Moon Mix and Masked's form is tied in and the ultra consistent Jack Rolfe will be looking to try and confirm form with both horses today and while he has every chance to do so with Masked the biggest threat of the two to turning the form on its head here. Wicked Daze could well be a very nicely handicapped runner here today but he has to prove he will stay the trip under the weight and with that in mind is best passed over for the time being.

Selection – 2 pts winJack Rolfe  @ 6-1 (BF7.4) & 2 pts win Marked  @ 9-1 (BF11)

Best of luck all

Well Chief