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Preview
16 September 2007
2.35 Goodwood Dennis EDE 70th
Birthday Celebration Stakes Handicap class 2 (3yo+ 0-100) 6F GD-FM
1 - The Tatling - The old boy
isn't the force of old and handicaps at this level is where his
future lies with group races above him these days, has ran well over
5F this season and been knocking on the door over that trip but it
would be wrong to say he isn't as effective over 6F these days as
the two 6F races he has contested this season has been a good effort
in the St Great Wilfred handicap at Ripon which may have been a
weaker heritage handicap and the Stewards cup over course and
distance in which he was well beaten in. Suited to quick ground and
has solid enough course form so he has everything in favour and
makes the short list for this handicap despite having to give weight
away in this handicap.
Tissue Price - 10/1
2 - Baron's Pit - Last seen
trying to beat the bunbury cup winner Giganticus over seven furlongs
and will appreciate the return to this trip today. Weighted to
reverse form over this 6F with the Tatling based on the Stewards cup
form this is a small field today, which should be much more to his
liking and gives him even more solid claims as continues to fall in
the handicap. Loves it on top of the ground and has solid enough
form over six, his best runs has potentially came over the minimum
trip of five furlongs where he very rarely runs a poor race.
Headgear is back on today and he has claims from this mark if not
getting drawn into a speed battle up front.
Tissue Price - 6/1
3 - Mac Gille Eoin - Highly
tried 3yo sprinter having been kept consistently on the go this
summer and comes into this handicap today of a 18lbs higher mark
then when winning over course and distance of a mark of 72. There is
reason to believe that the 3yo his been up against have been
potentially better quality then the older handicappers he has been
up against and the 1.5L defeat to Golden Dixie at this course two
runs back looks good solid handicapping form against the older
brigade and once again showed a liking for this course and distance.
Loves ideal racing ground but has raced well on quick ground but
wont mind a bit of watering on the ground, most solid over 6F he has
everything in favour including Jim Crowley in the plate who has
strike a good understanding with the horse and its just a matter of
is he good enough.
Tissue Price - 9/1
4 - Padrao Lima - One of the
more unexposed handicappers in this field today and it's hard to
know quite what to make of the form from Italy where he was a group
3 winner. Showed little over 7F on UK debut his top form was over a
mile in Italy and a little unsure what this drop to sprint distances
will bring from him and may be best watched to gain more info on the
horse. Jockey has ridden well for Stan Moore in the past but has yet
to ride a winner at Goodwood.
Tissue Price - 40/1
5 - Diane's Choice - Deserved
winner at Kempton latest on the All weather in which he denied the
sponsors a victory in the main handicap on the card. Has 2L to make
up on Dingaan over course and distance in which she bided to make
all before fading at the death and little unsure if the 1lb swing in
the weight is enough to reverse the form today. Only 3lbs higher
then when winning on the all weather, she is now 11lbs higher then
when winning on turf. The runs over 5F would have been to sharp and
this six should suit better and she is improving so there is claims
for her to run a place and possibly win this handicap.
Tissue Price - 11/2
6 - H Harrison - Ran
yesterday over his more favoured seven furlongs and shaped as if he
was In the grip if the handicapper having been raised for winning at
Chester a track that very much suits him. A prolific scorer having
landed 14 races and Andrew Elliot gets on well with the handicapper.
Has form over shorter but at a lower level its hard to see him
beating natural speedster in this handicap today.
Tissue Price - 16/1
7 - Ajigolo - Has a big swing
in the weights with Mac Gille Eoin on form behind the consistent
Golden Dixie over course and distance and could have been regarded
as disappointing this day to finish so far behind. Better then he
showed in that race he certainly holds The Tatling on St Wilfred
handicap at Ripon over six furlongs. Goes well this time of year and
quick ground is a bonus as his best form has come on quick ground
with two wins on this surface. The Yard are in great shape at
present but this horse is hit and miss and its hard to know which
Ajigolo is going to turn up and with four poor efforts at this track
(albeit decent races) a more conventional galloping track may suit
him best.
Tissue Price - 14/1
8 - Esteem Machine - Bolted
up last time on Soft ground at Newmarket and does seem best on
ground with cut in as many mark of esteem prodigies have proven in
the past. A galloping 6F suits he is one of interest with little
racing under his belt and may be to soon to totally discount him on
top of the ground having only previously encountered one run on fast
ground in which he was a close up 2nd over 7F. This may be a little
sharper then ideal today on quick ground over 6F even though that 7F
run he was always up in the firing line and went for home early
enough. Kerrin gets on well with the horse and the maiden run behind
Pipedreamer at this track is working out as solid form at this
course with the winner winning a big race handicap at the festival
here. 8lbs rise doesn't make it any easier for him, but he remains
of interest despite the race he won taking some form knocks, as he
was clearly the best in that race.
Tissue Price - 7/2
9 - Mujood - Another to have
contested a course and distance handicap behind Golden Dixie in
which he finished in between Aijgolo and Mac Gillie Eoin. Better
weighted with the 3yo even though has a lot of ground to make up and
looks like he is in the hands of the handicapper at present. Despite
being dropped a further 2lbs in the handicap to below a winning mark
that was obtained at this track back in May. Suited to the track he
needs to build on recent form to take a hand in this handicap but
quick ground here over six furlongs points to a big run if finding
his best form for first season trainer who has made her names in
sprints this season. Drawn in stall 1shouldnt be a problem as he is
likely to sit handily of the pace to be produced at the right time
and has much in favour.
Tissue Price - 8/1
10 - Dingaan - Course and
distance winner when winning in good fashion coming from last to
first in the final 3rd of the race to just deny Bentong in the last
strides. Suited to a strong pace there is potential that this race
could fall into his lap and interesting after a 5lbs drop in the
handicap from his all weather mark has him well handicapped against
Diane's Choice on turf form and with 2lbs out of the handicap he is
still below this winning mark. Didn't run to badly over 7F behind
King of Argos here, which his stamina didn't last home and should be
much better suited to this race today. Bigger fields are ideal for
him but this 10-runner affair has a bit of pace about it and may
just get away with it.
Tissue Price - 4/1
Tissue Prices - Esteem Machine 7/2, Dingaan 4/1, Diane's
Choice 11/2 , Baron's Pit 6/1, Mujood 8/1, Mac Gillie Eoin 9/1, The
Tatling 10/1, Ajigolo 14/1, H Harrison 16/1, Padrao Lima 40/1
Verdict – An
open handicap where several have claims over this 6F. The exposed
top handicappers are led by Baron's Pit, who makes more appeal then
The Tatling, who has to shoulder top weight in this handicap, but
may have the race to suit. At the foot of the weights Dingaan at
10-1 is a big price from out of the handicap, while Mujood isn't
without a chance if finding his best form. Esteem Machine would be a
warm order in this handicap, if it was known that this sharper test
would suit. I would have made him a very short fav, his
ability may have him ahead of the handicapper enough to overcome it
here, if it wasn't his most ideal ground. Therefore, we return to
Dingaan as the choice for this race.
Selection –
Dingaan 1pt win
@ 10-1 (BF 12.0)
Well Chief
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