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Preview - 09 July 2007

 

7.35 Windsor Totesport E B F Handicap class 4 (3yo 0-80) 12F good

1 – Prince Nureyev – Doesn’t seem to have the ability of old when looking a decent handicapper when winning in a good time at Newbury and if he was to rediscover that level of form he would run away with this race today. Recent form has him as a also run and even though this may not hold such opposition as Greek well in, he should struggle to give weight away to something more progressive. Tracksuits on 2nd and ground should suit.

My Tissue Price – 8/1

2 – Pocketwood – Big disappointment when beaten out of sight at Carlisle and the race in which he did win when dictating a slow pace at Folkestone is starting to find him out at the weights as he was given a soft lead and took full advantage of that fact. Hard to find to much to give him claims after the last run and in a similar field it all relays on whether or not he will get the run of the race upfront which doesn’t look likely.

My Tissue Price – 20/1

3 – Tender Falcon – Still lives in the memory when he denied me a big winning bet at Epsom when beating Balkan Knight who has gone on to progress too much better races while Tender Falcon has had a injury and been sparingly used to not good effect. Didn’t stay last time at Goodwood but at least showed some signs that he may be returning back to form. This trip should be more to his liking then the 2M last times and the ground under foot should be ideal. A strong gallop should suit him and he is handicapped to go well in what looks his easiest assignment for quite sometime.

My tissue price – 10/1

4 – Prime Powered – Very much lost his way of late after finishing well down the field on his last two starts in which he was tailed off on both occasions. Falling down the handicap as a result he is well handicapped if you take his Newbury handicap win over 10F last season. Showed nothing over further since winning a muddling affair on the all weather track of Kempton and may not stay this trip at a good gallop. The last run dropped back to possibly his more favoured trip was a poor effort and potentially has something to prove since leaving Gary Moore yard for Ralf Beckett.

My tissue price – 7/1

5 – Cavallini – Has been knocking on the door of late and looks like he may finally lose his handicap maiden tag here. A very good effort here last time when 5th to Kerrimuir Lass who may turn out to be half decent in handicaps. The ground tonight should be ideal as its likely to touch on the fast side of good in my view and taking the effort in a staying race last year at Newbury behind Stoop to Conquer in which he was hampered and didn’t see the extra furlong out, he has solid claims as he travelled very well for most of that race. This trip looks ideal and the blinkers should help.

My Tissue price – 6/1

6 – Classic Role – Disappointing horse in general as he always has been one that should win more races then he actually does. Should have taken a notable scalp over hurdles when cantering all over Straw Bear, but once again showed that he has a willingness to go down with out a fight and his chances are based on old form and if he is on a going day on his return to the flat.

My Tissue price – 16/1

7 – Dove Cottage – Should make the race interesting up front with Pocketwood and could easily end the chances of that rival here. Has gone close in his last 3 starts without threatening to win either of those races and majority of those races were where he was allowed to dictate the tempo and have the run of the race. Not likely to get a easy time of it here and yet to show enough speed to win on this type of ground, others appeal more.

My tissue price – 18/1

8 – Medieval Maiden – Didn’t handle soft ground when returning to the turf and is still relatively unexposed on turf ability having shown a good level of ability on debut when going close on debut on good to firm ground. Certain to have improved since his debut after progressing on the all weather and is interesting back on a sounder surface on the turf.

My tissue Price – 16/1

9 – Oakley Heffert – Finished well over this trip when failing to peg back the winner and that race was half decent with Hi Calypso well beaten in behind who has gone on to win a decent race since. Handles the course well on that showing in a 3yo handicap and has claims on better ground then the run at Salisbury suggested. Stays the trip and Richard Hannon is in flying form at present. He has failed not to show his best running here and has claims getting weight from the older horses.

My Tissue price – 11/4

10 – Polish Red – Well beaten when first here and another who has a s form line with Hi Calypso who beat him easy. A half brother to Norcroft there could be reasons to suggest that these middle distance races are a little to taxing, but a course and distance win last time on soft ground suggest that he will stay in a truly run race after doing so last time. Better class of opponents today he showed plenty of pace on conditions like this as a 2yo including when showing up well 4th on his debut run.

My tissue Price – 9/2

11 – Mr Mischief – Best form has come on the all weather in which he is ultra consistent on having failed only once to place. Well beaten by King of the Moors on last start on conditions as quick as this and was bitterly disappointing when never figuring last time in a very poor handicap at Yarmouth. Yet to win on turf on the flat and hard to see him winning at a higher class then he has done on his beloved All weather.

My Tissue price – 16/1

Tissue Prices – Oakley Heffert 11/4, Polish Red 9/2, Cavallini 6/1, Prime Powered 7/1, Prince Nurereyv 8/1, Tender Falcon 10/1, Mr Mischief, Medieval Maiden, Classic Role 16/1, Dove Cottage 18/1, Pocketwood 20/1.

Selection – Heffert 1pt @ 11-2 (BF6-1) & Tender Falcon 0.5pts @ 20-1 (BF29-1)

Well Chief