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Preview - 02 July 2007

 

9.00 Goodwood – Fillies Handicap stakes (class 4) (3yo+ 0-85) 7F Soft

1 – Ivory Lace – She seems to be in good form and progressed from last season to win a race just as well as the one she carries top weight in today. Well suited by 7F and overcoming four poor efforts here to beat several course specialists she should make her presence felt again if overcoming the testing conditions today. On breeding she shouldn’t be to hinder on the going but should make her task much harder this time around.

My Tissue Price – 3/1

2 – Spring Goddess – Well beaten here last time but that race will most probably turnout to be a better race then the one Ivory Lace won taking the finishing distance of Martial Witness who is a good yardstick for this track. Potentially likely to struggle again here as she does seemly run much better on a straight galloping track that could be considered more stiff in the finish then the downhill 7F of Goodwood and with her best form over 8F she could be staying on all a bit to late in behind.

My Tissue Price – 9/2

3 – Linda Green – All wins over shorter trip she is entitled to have another attempt over 7F having maybe found the 7F at Newbury and Leicester a little too much for her. However with the ground having juice in she should give a very bold bid today. Maybe not the classiest filly in the field and one that benefits from larger fields she has a few things against her but at least she is guaranteed to go on the surface which is a major plus on days such as this.

My Tissue Price – 9/2

4 – Our Faye – The likely favourite with most bookmakers after winning at Salisbury and having a progressive profile as she looks on the upgrade. 2nd run back this season and you always have to be a bit careful with Fillies after a break and the total different conditions has to have some question marks over her. She carried 10 stone last time which is no easy feat today and albeit under a penalty of 4lbs for that run her task is made easier on ground that 10 stone would have made a considerable difference. Partnered with Jimmy Fortune she has a good chance in this race if handling the conditions as well as the supposedly tougher opponents.

My Tissue Price – 7/2

5 – Miss Jenny – Non Runner

6 – Pelican Key – Has something to prove after two poor efforts so far this season and hasn’t had any real excuses and may just have failed to train on after a couple of runs in listed company last season. Dropping down the handicap and unknown on these conditions she looks one to keep a eye on for future low grade races.

My Tissue Price – 16/1

7 – Towy Girl – Yet to really show anything of note even though a close effort in a very average maiden at Kempton not to long ago. Showed at least a consistent edge on the all weather over a mile and this drop back in trip to over 7F shouldn’t be too much of a problem. Handicap debut and even though found a easy looking race she hasn’t shown to much to say she is well handicapped but of the two 3yo she appeals the most based on that 2nd in a maiden at Kempton.

My Tissue Price – 9/1  

Verdict – A poor same sex handicap here and Our Faye is a little to short even though two of the main rivals are better over six or eight furlongs. Being a small field it is likely to suit Linda Green turn of speed on this ground even though she prefers a bigger field to travel covered up. Ivory Lace is in general around 100-30 with most bookmakers and with the top 4 more evenly matched then the bookmakers are suggesting I would be prepared to take this price in this race.

SelectionIvory Lace 1pt @ 100-30 (BF4.6)

Well Chief