|
Preview
19 June 2007
4.20 Queen Anne Stakes Group 1
(4yo+) Good 1M
1 - Cesare - Royal hunt cup
winner has been on the upgrade since the festival last year and will
want a warm dry morning to help his chances as he is by far better
on top of the ground then with any give in the ground and this
represents as a big rise up in grade from the impressive listed
stakes win when beating Illustrious Blue by 4L over course and
distance. Ridden by Johnny Murtagh who has a 100% record on this
horse and takes over from Jamie Spencer. Needs to find improvement
against genuine group 1 horses and not out of the question with a
likely race to suit. Beaten by 7l by Notability he is considerably
better then that form as he was never moving in the same way as
usual and considering how close stronghold finished to Notability
Cesare who has improved since has a good yardstick to be based
around in terms of ability.
My Tissue Price - 14/1
2 - George Washington - Not
seen since staying on at the one pace behind Invasor in the Breeders
cup classic and returns from stud after problems to run as a 4yo.
Classy action has him as a notable runner in this race and he is
very much likely to be the most eye-catching horse as far as the
market influence goes as he could improve again as a 4yo and if
that's the case it is a case of being unstoppable. Beat Araffa on
good to soft ground over a mile at this course and that ground was
most probably quicker then advertised last season. Good racing
ground is advertise and it mot probably will be on the slower side
of good but generally good racing ground in which George Washington
was so impressive on when bolting home in the 2000 Guineas. 4 group
1 wins show his obvious class and if on song he should have this in
the bag as potentially the best miler in Europe.
My Tissue Price - 7/4
3 - Jeremy - Jersey stakes
winner over 7F when beating asset by 2L at last years festival and
looked as good as ever when coming from last to first at Sandown in
good style to win going away at the finish. Stepped up in class last
time when tackling group 1 company in the Lockinge in which he meets
two of those rivals again here today and maybe the pace in that
group1 didn't help his come from behind tactics. Best with a stiff
finish rather then the flat galloping track that day he isn't likely
to get the run of the race again here today with no real pace setter
in the field and may struggle to turn around the form as both those
rivals hadn't had a benefit of a run even though these top horses
are usually prepped well for group 1 targets. Acts on the ground and
Sir Michael Stoute is always one to respect in knowing how to win
non-handicap races such as these at the festival but looks like he
may need to improve to trouble the best of these in a hot looking
group 1.
My Tissue price - 9/1
4 - Notablity - Now with
Godolphin after being transferred from Michael Jarvis stable over
the winter and was a profitable horse while with his old trainer
winning a group 2 in Germany last year. Easily disposed of when
beaten by Godolphin's other purchase in Italy and well held at
Longchamp by Echo of light another Godolphin runner who is below
group 1 class on form. Ideal ground conditions for his UK debut in
the royal blue of Godolphin, his runs in the desert should be
overlooked as a true reflection on the horse as the stable struggled
early doors. Below genuine group 1 class he is better watched to
find out how good he is after the transfer as it wouldn't be the
first horse to have regressed for the change to Godolphin.
My Tissue Price - 14/1
5 - Racinger - Beat Turtle
Bowl last time by a neck at Saint-Cloud in which Frankie Dettori got
that rival up in the shadows of the post and it is likely that
Godolphin will know through their Jockey how they stand up against
the French raiders. Sure to be more suited to the run of the race if
given a easy time on the front end then Turtle Soup and one that
certainly is suited to good racing ground with a small field also a
added bonus. The jockey is a show Pony but one who from the front if
allowed to dictate the field will kick at the right time and could
be hard to peg back. Even though yet to have a crack at group 1
level he can come out on top but is likely Godolphin have a clue to
the ability of this horse and Turtle Bowl to have their measure
here.
My Tissue Price - 9/1
6 - Ramonti - Looks a very
good horse and was very unlucky not to land Godolphin a Group 1,
which they have found hard to do in the past 24 months. He should
come out on top with Red Evie and Jeremy this time around, as the
improved ground and the stiff finish at Ascot will suit him more
then Newbury. He can gain compensation for that defeat, in which he
was 2nd fav to land the race on the book. The number one choice for
the stable on jockey bookings and with the trainer and jockey
knowing just about how well they stand against the rest, he should
have a great chance at giving the fav the most to do. Likely to be
raced up with the pace, he will be looking to make sure this isn't
ran at a crawl and Frankie can land yet another group 1, by getting
the kick off the bend right to make sure Racinger doesn't slip them.
Good ground suits and with Noatabilty already beaten and two others
on form likely to give way it could be a long awaited return to a
group 1 Royal Ascot winner for the boys in blue.
My tissue Price - 7/2
7 - Turtle Bowl - Beat Racinger on
heavy ground and then beaten narrowly in a driving finish next time
on soft ground, with the opponent getting a inspired ride from
Frankie Dettori that day. Partnered with his usual jockey this day
he was no matched last time for the impressive Manduro in a group 1
at Longchamp. His group 1 win has been dismissed as genuine Group 1
form which has to be a concern as this is shaping up to be quite a
informative group 1 race, but small tactical affairs such as this do
give him claims. Beaten 3 times by Libretist last season Godolphin
has the knowledge of how to beat the French raiders and a lot
depends on how well they have travelled over in their preparation
for this tilt at a UK group 1. Not certain to reverse the group 2
defeat to Racinger and much more exposed then that rival.
My Tissue Price - 20/1
8 - Red Evie - The only filly
in the race has a tough ask to win her 2nd group 1 this season after
progressing quickly last season and it will be a great training
performance by Michael Bell to get her to beat the colts again
considering she was winning handicaps this time last season. Only
beaten twice in her career so far and that has been both times at
Newmarket and overall her form has a very rapid upwards curve.
Unlikely to confirm form from that run she has the service of Jamie
Spencer (6/7) who could have been retained to ride Cesare for this
race today so that has to be one positive to take from her chances
but with the race being likely to suit The Godolphin runner it is
unlikely that Frankie will be beaten in the same manor twice and she
has place claims at best with her sex allowance.
My Tissue Price - 5/1
Tissue - George Washington 7/4Fav, Ramonti 7/2, Red Evie
5/1,Racinger, Jeremy 9/1, Cesare, Notabilty 14/1, Turtle Bowl 20/1.
Verdict – Godolphin
have a chance at landing a group 1 with their talented and unlucky
loser of the Lockinge in Ramonti.
He rates as good value at 11/2 in places and 7.0 on Betfair. Any rain (which could be likely) will not trouble this nice
strong galloping colt. There seems to be more to come and he rates
as better value then the filly Red Evie, to cause the favourite the
most problems. The French raiders are likely to be held, on form
lines through stables and Racinger could stick on for a place in
this with Cesare, Notability and Jeremy just a shade below top
class. George Washington will have had a timely prep for this, as
they leave nothing to chance with this horse. He will have to pay
his way by winning top races such as this, and he would be odds on
in this, if certain he was still at his best. The run in America
could have left its mark and whos to know if he will still be
possessing? After all the class he showed in his 3yo days, he
wouldn't be the first to enjoy a brilliant 3yo campaign with an
average 4yo season.
Selection –
2pts win Ramonti
@ 11/2 (5-1 General) 7.0 BF
Well Chief
|