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Euro Preview - 24 October 2007

Lucarelli to heap more misery on Milan.

A home fixture against Ukranian opposition would normally be considered easy-pickings for the defending champions, however Carlo Ancelotti's side have looked anything but Kings of Europe so far this season.

Shakhtar Donetsk travel to the San Siro full of confidence after opening victories against Celtic and Benfica, and will be looking to cement their place at the top of Group D.

AC Milan's San Siro woes were compounded on Sunday, as they were humbled by Empoli. It was a lethargic attacking performance without their talisman Kaka. With Ronaldo still sidelined it was left to Gilardino and Inzaghi to produce the goods, and they proved once again that they're about the least effective double-act since Evans and Houllier.

Defensively, the problems appear even greater for the Rossoneri. Legendary stopper Paolo Maldini is now past his best, and Alessandro Nesta is anything but a defensive lynchpin. Maldini cannot manage two games in a week these days, so his place will be taken by Kakha Kaladze, with 35 year old Favalli replacing the injured Jankulovski.

Empoli, Catania and Parma have all exposed one specific weakness in recent games - poor marking. Crosses from wide areas are just not being dealt with effectively. This is an area which Shakhtar should be able to exploit through the pace of Ilsinho and Fernandinho, and the predatory instincts of Cristiano Lucarelli.

There have been rumours this week about Lucarelli and Ilsinho being lined up for a move to Milan in the transfer window, which would provide an added incentive, should any extra motivation be needed, to perform in such a game. Second-top scorer in Serie A last season, Lucarelli has always enjoyed playing at the San Siro, having notched three times in his last three visits.

Brazilian Goalkeeper Dida is preparing for the Oscars, sorry serving a ban, so ex-Leicester flop Kalac will line-up between the sticks. Ancelotti's main concern will be the condition of Kaka - a player who almost single-handedly took Milan to last year's Champions League Final. The Brazilian playmaker is still listed as doubtful, so it's fair to assume he may not be in the best shape should he be rushed back for what really is a make-or-break fixture for Milan.

Take Mircea Lucescu's vastly improving side to match their more illustrious opponents, and exploit obvious weaknesses in an ageing Milan rearguard. Lucarelli can once again be a thorn in the side of old foe Silvio Berlusconi.

AC Milan v Shakhtar Donetsk. Wednesday 19:45.

Recommendation: 3pts Shakhtar +1 (three-way handicap) @ 2/1 Betfred, Sportingbet. 1.5pts Lucarelli to score @ 4/1. Hills, Bet365.

Ilunga