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Euro Preview - 23 Sep 2007

Calderon faithful may have to wait.

The pressure is on for Atletico Madrid coach Javier Aguierre. Two points out of a possible nine is not the start many had in mind. It's still early days, but the sight of 100 Million Euros worth of attacking talent failing to create meaningful chances against Murcia last week was a sorry sight. Sadly, this season is starting to shape up like so many others, high expectations only to be followed by disappointment.

This weekend's match against Racing Santander takes now takes on added significance. Unfortunately, Racing are not the ideal side to be facing in these circumstances. Far from it in fact. Traditionally a hard-working, spoiling side, short on attacking talent, the unfashionable Basques surprised many last season with their powerful attacking play. The early signs suggest that new coach Marcelino, brought in from Recreativo in the summer, has carried that on, despite the loss of beanpole Serbian striker Nicola Zigic. Mohamed Tchite and Polish livewire Ebi Smolarek are the players who will now compete to forge a partnership with the gifted Pedro Munitis. Five points, and one goal conceded from their opening trio of games is an impressive haul, when you consider Racing have faced both Barcelona and Real Zaragoza, and gone toe-to-toe with both.

Atletico will no doubt prove popular, given the vast array of attacking talent at Aguierre's disposal. The trouble is, expensive new-boys Reyes, Forlan and Simao are some way from their best right now. Even the ever-dependable Maxi Rodriguez is looking out-of-sorts and, with Argentinean 'wonderkid' Sergio Aguero flattering to deceive, it's doubtful whether they actually possess the tools to break down a stubborn Racing side. It's best not to read anything into the 4-0 UEFA victory over a Greek Second division side. The score line doesn't tell the whole story, as the performance was just as lethargic as any which preceded it. Perhaps the Calderon faithful are just too demanding, but it's exceedingly rare to see a team jeered after winning by four goals. The growing suspicion is that Aguierre is not the man to get the best out of the 100 million mob. Jose Mourinho's departure appears to put a few managers of high-profile coaches under added pressure.

I'm sure Atletico will start firing at some point, but this is not the time to be backing them. Racing should be supported on the handicap. To be able to find a 0.75 handicap is a bargain, as Aguierre has a frustrating (if you're an Atletico follower) tendency to sit on one-goal advantages. Murcia took full-advantage last week, and Racing can do the same. Keep an eye out for injury news, as key visiting defender Ezquiel Garay is listed as doubtful. That news tempers my enthusiasm slightly, but I feel a +0.5 handicap would be a more realistic assessment of the current abilities of these two sides.

Atletico Madrid v Racing Santander. Sunday 18:00

Recommendation: 3pts Racing Santander +0.75 at 1.96. Betfair.

Ilunga