Champions League
Preview - 18 Sep 2007
Shaktar Donetsk vs Celtic.
Tuesday 18 Sep 19:45.
BACKGROUND
Celtic travel to the Ukraine hoping to improve on a dreadful
Champions League away record. This is now the fifth time the
Scottish Heavyweights have participated in the group stages, and the
stats show that they have collected only a solitary point out of a
possible 36. Of course there was the memorable performance in Milan
earlier this year, where Strachan's charges took the eventual
winners all the way to extra time. Something similar may be required
here, given Shaktar's impressive home record in this competition.
The big-spending Ukrainian Champions are unbeaten since 2004, which
co-incidentally was the last time these two sides met - Shaktar ran
out comfortable 3-0 victors. Since then, Mircea Lucescu's men have
more than held their own against such heavyweights as Valencia and
Roma.
FORM
Both clubs are currently dominating their domestic leagues, as we
would expect given their resources. Both were given a scare in the
qualifiers, but eventually came through unscathed. Celtic needed
penalties to see off Spartak Moscow, whilst Shaktar left it late to
dispose of Red Bull Salzburg of Austria. The relevance of recent
results against the likes of Inverness, St Mirren and the mighty
Chronometers is contentious but I'll put the league form up anyway.
Shaktar:
Sept 15 v Chronometers (a) WON 2-1
Sept 1 v Arsenal (h) WON 4-1
Aug 25 v Tavriya (h) WON 2-0
Aug 19 v Metalist (a) WON 3-1
Celtic:
Sept 15 v Inverness CT (h) WON 5-0 Sept 2 v St. Mirren (a) WON
5-1
Aug 25 v Hearts (h) WON 5-0
Aug 19 v Aberdeen WON 3-1
TEAM NEWS
Shaktar Captain Dmytro Chygrynskiy is suspended, with Darijo Srna
is likely take his place. Prolific Serie A marksman Cristiano
Lucarelli will be eager to prove his worth on Europe's biggest
stage, while Nery Castillo could play some part after his summer
move from Olympiakos. The Mexican International was outstanding in
this summer's Copa America, bailing out his under-performing
teammates on several occasions. Other key performers include
dead-ball specialist Srna, pacy wing-back Ilsinho and creative
midfielder Fernandinho. Gordon Strachan has no fresh injury worries.
Paul Hartley could come into the midfield alongside Scotland
teammate Scott Brown, after his impressive performance at the Parc
De Princes, The snappily-named Jan Vennegoor of Hesselink is likely
to be given the nod upfront.
CONCLUSION
A lot of the pre-match talk from the Celtic camp has involved the
qualifying victory over Spartak Moscow. It seems a little strange to
me that Celtic are grasping at that particular straw so fervently.
Shaktar are a much stronger side than Spartak. I suppose any
half-decent result away from Parkhead is cause for much celebration
these days.
If Shaktar have a weakness it's in defence. It remains to be seen
how Strachan will approach things. He's not a coach who believes in
the 'you start a game with a point' philosophy, if previous group
stage encounters are anything to go by. It could just be that
Scotland's brave backs-to-the-wall performance in Paris may have
rubbed off a little. Alternatively, memories of the credible showing
in Milan may also prove an inspiration. I'd rather buy into the
theory that this is, on paper, Celtic's easiest away fixture of the
three, therefore the fiery Scot will be looking for more than just a
point. That could spell trouble against the attacking talents of
Lucarelli, Castillo and co.
In a straight footballing contest, Shaktar should have too much
for Celtic, and anything around Evens is a backable price. For a
speculative saver, try a small bet on the 2-2 result. As mentioned
above, Shaktar's backline is not the most reliable, and this score
line came up twice in three of their home games at this phase last
season. Celtic twice stunned the Old Trafford faithful in their
group opener last year, and are capable of similar here if they set
their stall out to attack. There is a strong temptation to take Over
2.5 goals at odds-against, but it would probably be best waiting for
team news before getting involved.
RECOMMENDATION: 4pts Shaktar
at 2.06. (Betfair) 0.25pts 2-2 at 16/1 (General).
Ilunga
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