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Euro Qualifier 2008 - 17 Oct 2007

Romania to do just enough.

After the superb 1-0 victory over the Netherlands on Saturday, Romania are now in pole position in Group G. Barring any slip-ups. Victor Piturca's men will be playing in Austria and Switzerland next summer.

A potential banana-skin comes in the form of a trip to Luxembourg. An easy three points on paper, however it may not be the best time to be facing the minnows, who come into the game having produced a mighty shock of their own, winning in Belarus.

Three points is all that matters for Piturca. The defensive-minded coach will not tale any undue risks in achieving his ultimate goal, as proved by the ultra-negative system employed against the Dutch. That ploy proved a masterstroke and, while Luxembourg hardly carry a goal threat to match Van Nistelrooy and company, it would make little sense to go gung-ho with so much at stake. Particularly when his main goalscorer, Adrian Mutu, is unavailable through suspension. With Nicolita and Codrea also banned, Romania may just find Luxembourg a tough nut to crack.

Both the Netherlands and Bulgaria could only manage single goal victories here, and it could pay to work around those formlines. With Luxembourg unlikely to find a way past a stingy visiting backline, bank on Romania doing just enough to keep their Euro 2008 dreams ticking over.

Luxembourg v Romania. Wednesday 19:15.

Recommendation: 4pts  Under 3.25 goals. @ 1.86. Ladbrokes. 0.75pts  0-1 correct score. @ 10/1. Stan James, Bet365.

Ilunga